Le Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) - FXCM Apps Store

Using Python and Pandas to explore trader sentiment data

FXCM’s Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) focuses on buyers and sellers, comparing how many are active in the market and producing a ratio to indicate how traders are behaving in relation to a particular currency pair. A positive SSI ratio indicates more buyers are in the market than sellers, while a negative SSI ratio indicates that more sellers are in the market. FXCM’s sentiment data was designed around this index, providing 12 sentiment measurements per minute (click here for an overview of each measurement.)
The sample data is stored in a GNU compressed zip file on FXCM’s GitHub as https://sampledata.fxcorporate.com/sentiment/{instrument}.csv.gz. To download the file, we’ll use this URL, but change {instrument} to the instrument of our choice. For this example we’ll use EUUSD price.
import datetime import pandas as pd url = 'https://sampledata.fxcorporate.com/sentiment/EURUSD.csv.gz' data = pd.read_csv(url, compression='gzip', index_col='DateTime', parse_dates=True) """Convert data into GMT to match the price data we will download later""" import pytz data = data.tz_localize(pytz.timezone('US/Eastern')) data = data.tz_convert(pytz.timezone('GMT')) """Use pivot method to pivot Name rows into columns""" sentiment_pvt = data.tz_localize(None).pivot(columns='Name', values='Value') 
Now that we have downloaded sentiment data, it would be helpful to have the price data for the same instrument over the same period for analysis. Note the sentiment data is in 1-minute increments, so I will need to pull 1-minute EURUSD candles. We could pull this data into a DataFrame quickly and easily using fxcmpy, however the limit of the number of candles we can pull using fxcmpy is 10,000, which is fewer than the number of 1-minute candles in January 2018. Instead, we can download the candles in 1-week packages from FXCM’s GitHub and create a loop to compile them into a DataFrame. This sounds like a lot of work, but really it’s only a few lines of code. Similarly to the sentiment data, historical candle data is stored in GNU zip files which can be called by their URL.
url = 'https://candledata.fxcorporate.com/' periodicity='m1' ##periodicity, can be m1, H1, D1 url_suffix = '.csv.gz' symbol = 'EURUSD' start_dt = datetime.date(2018,1,2)##select start date end_dt = datetime.date(2018,2,1)##select end date start_wk = start_dt.isocalendar()[1] end_wk = end_dt.isocalendar()[1] year = str(start_dt.isocalendar()[0]) data=pd.DataFrame() for i in range(start_wk, end_wk+1): url_data = url + periodicity + '/' + symbol + '/' + year + '/' + str(i) + url_suffix print(url_data) tempdata = pd.read_csv(url_data, compression='gzip', index_col='DateTime', parse_dates=True) data=pd.concat([data, tempdata]) """Combine price and sentiment data""" frames = data['AskClose'], sentiment_pvt.tz_localize(None) combineddf = pd.concat(frames, axis=1, join_axes=[sentiment_pvt.tz_localize(None).index], ignore_index=False).dropna() combineddf 
At this point you can begin your exploratory data analysis. We started by viewing the descriptive statistics of the data, creating a heatmap of the correlation matrix, and plotting a histogram of the data to view its distribution. View this articleto see our sample code and the results.
submitted by JasonRogers to AlgoTradingFXCM [link] [comments]

GBP/USD Technical & Sentiment Analysis (16 Feb 2014)

Hey guys. I don't usually do GBP/USD, but it's suddenly become one of the most interesting pairs in my opinion, because I believe some very big moves are afoot. I'm going to mostly be looking at the long term view in the context of market positioning, so this might not be all that helpful for scalpers ;)
I want to start with the Daily FX SSI (Speculative Sentiment Index) reading for GBP/USD, which is quite something: http://i.imgur.com/pFcbIij.png (© 2014 DailyFX)
There are 9 traders short for every one long. Basically the entire retail crowd is betting against the trend. This means that the majority of orders in the market will be stop losses near current levels.
Also worth a watch is John Kicklighter's video for the week, focusing on the S&P and GBP/USD: http://www.dailyfx.com/forex/video/daily_news_report/2014/02/14/Forex_Weighing_Reversals_for_SP_500_USDollar_GBPUSD.html
For those new to this kind of thing, sentiment analysis is just analysis using what you can know about market positioning, and how the market generally "feels" about a currency pair. Usually SSI gives quite reliable indications of when a trend will continue, because the majority of retail traders will start betting against it. Their stops add fuel to the fire when it continues. (This is also why I'm short AUD/USD - 2 traders long to every 1 short. Not extreme yet, but it means there are lots of stops below).
Before I get into too much detail there, here's the weekly chart: http://i.imgur.com/Ef4VRQf.png
(Yes I'm long)
I've put some tentative levels there, but I'll do more precise ones in a minute. As you can see, price is breaking out of a long term wedge. It hasn't quite cleared the range yet, and 1.700 is a massive wall to get over. There will be enormous interest at this level, not to mention some extremely large option barriers.
But I think it will break it eventually. Why I think it will go higher? Well, market positioning for one, but also this:
http://www.cityindex.co.uk/market-analysis/market-news/24551832014/sterling-at-fresh-3-year-highs-eyes-more-gains/?cid=0000215115
Good analysis piece pointing out that GBP/USD is only about 6% away from the 200WMA. Deviations from this average have historically been much larger. Since price is clearly moving away from this level, I believe we can expect quite a large move as the market unwinds its short positioning.
A look at Oanda's orderbook (or the order boards posted at ForexLive) can give us a more precise view of where these orders are sitting:
http://i.imgur.com/FEn4h3O.png
Current Positioning & Open Orders
As you can see the market is severely short, mostly from the last 100 pips or so. 1.6600 is an area where a lot of positions, both long and short, were established.
There are clusters of buy stops above 1.6700 (small), 1.6750 (bigger) and then above 1.6900 there are two large clusters of buy stops.
Further, there are more buy stops above current price than there are sell orders, meaning that there is ample room for price to continue higher. They're mixed in with some mid-weight sell orders around 1.6800, so this is a level that should provide resistance.
Going a bit lower, we find that bids (both those wanting to initiate new positions and those wanting to take profits on short positions) should provide extreme levels of support.
These are in at about every 10-15 pips between 1.6600 and 1.6500, with the largest cluster being at 1.6500. Going on this alone, buying any dips below 1.66 looks really good.
Beware the retracement
Bear in mind that there are sell stops below 1.6700 - these are the weaker longs or those wishing to enter short on a break below the figure. These could accelerate a correction down to 1.6650 quite quickly.
Here's the 4hr chart, with the largest bids and offers put in. You'll notice that they line up quite nicely with just about any other method of calculating S&R. Dashed lines are larger orders, dotted ones smaller. The big box is where there are too many orders to make lines for :P
http://i.imgur.com/C1htngr.png
Hopefully that's helpful.
Now, there's also a fundamental component to consider. The UK's recovery is looking fairly solid, while the market is very quickly losing its patience with the greenback. Over the last quarter my bullish USD bias has evaporated, as it was predicated on the market not having priced in the full effects of the taper. Now that it appears this is not the case, I have no choice but to change my USD bias to neutral/bearish. The recent soft data also indicates that the recovery is lagging that of the UK's quite badly. The market's reaction to positive US data is generally muted, and when something can't rally on good news, it's usually bad news.
Another thing to note is that the DJ FXCM Dollar Index declined throughout the last dip and recovery in the S&P - one of the longest sustained bearish moves in history. It was only half the magnitude of the other declines of this length, but most other 6-7 day consecutive declines in the dollar have preceded much greater bear waves, not recoveries. The logical thing to do is to look for a USD bounce and sell it.
We need look no further than the S&P to see what's happening here:
http://i.imgur.com/YrCT8tA.png (4hr chart with GBP/USD overlaid in white)
Sterling not quite a safe-haven yet. If 1850 goes in S&P, expect GBP/USD to continue higher. However, Daily RSI on both is currently showing bearish divergence (shown on charts - it's a daily RSI despite it being a 4hr chart)
This means that we might head slightly lower before bouncing. Trend line support for the S&P comes in at around 1775, which would imply quite a serious fall in Cable before buyers really step in.
The level I really like? 1.6475 There is a large cluster of buy orders just below 1.6500, which I believe is where the smart money is looking to enter. This move would flush out a lot of weak longs, leaving plenty of space for new positions. Sellers will also be taking a lot of profits off here, giving us a very good chance of a bounce. From there all it will take is a move back above 1.660 to really get moving.
So longer term I would look to start long positions between 1.6600 and 1.6475, with stops below 1.6250 or the 100DMA
Targets would be completely open. I will look to exit the position if and when speculative sentiment drops back to more natural levels, or perhaps even reverses. Stops will be trailed to lock in profit, but not aggressively.
submitted by NormanConquest to Forex [link] [comments]

Speculative Sentiment Index Archive Analiza tehnica Forex- Speculative Sentiment Index Speculative Sentiment Index for MT4 - FXCM Tutorial - YouTube FXCM: Lo Speculative Sentiment Index - Matteo Paganini ... Lo Speculative Sentiment Index di FXCM Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) FXCM Expo Win More Forex Trades With The Speculative Sentiment Index!

We use IG client sentiment to show trader positioning across forex, stocks and commodities. See where other traders are in the markets with our trader sentiment. Der Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) Es ist möglich, von dem beschriebenen Zusammenhang zu profitieren. Der Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) von DailyFX zeigt die Positionierung der über 200 000 Kunden von FXCM in den wichtigsten Währungspaaren, den sogenannten „Majors“, an und setzt diese ins Verhältnis. Der SSI ist ein klassischer Kontra-Indikator, was bedeutet, dass eine Netto ... The Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is a proprietary tool offered by FXCM. Many technical indicators, such as moving averages, use past data and in a certain sense look in a backward fashion to understand trends. The SSI, however, analyses current data and is considered a leading indicator, meaning it can often signal a change in market direction before the change happens. The index is ... Le SSI (Speculative Sentiment Index) de FXCM PLUS est un excellent outil vous permettant de mesurer le positionnement et le sentiment général des traders sur le marché du Forex. Cet outil peut vous aider à décider du positionnement de vos trades. À la différence des marchés boursiers actions ou à terme (futures), il n’existe pas de marché centralisé pour le Forex. Il est ... To do sentiment analysis in Forex, the Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is a tool that can be used to understand how different traders are positioning themselves in the market. Continuing with the articles already published on the role that the Commitment of Traders (COT) Report plays in the market, on the analysis of Market Profile and the assessment made of the Money Flow Index, this text ... The Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is one of the most powerful tools at a trader’s disposal. Now you can get the sentiment of your trading peers plotted right on your chart. Unlike major equities or futures markets, there is no single centralized exchange for forex trading. Such decentralized activity makes finding uniform open interest data impossible. FXCM as an industry-leading FX ... What is the Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI)? The Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) is a proprietary tool offered by FXCM. Many technical indicators, such as moving averages, use past data and in a certain sense look in a backward fashion to understand trends.The SSI, however, analyses current data and is considered a leading indicator, meaning it can often signal a change in market direction ... Speculative Sentiment Index FXCM: Speculative Sentiment Index. Was ist der SSI? Der Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) ist ein einzigartiges Tool... Trading Rules for the FXCM Speculative Sentiment Index-Based Momentum2 Strategy. Buy Rule. If the Speculative Sentiment Index shows that forex trading crowds are the most net-short they have been in the past 145 hours, buy one unit. Sell Rule. If the Speculative Sentiment Index shows that forex trading crowds are the most net-long they have ... More people are turning to the Speculative Sentiment Index (SSI) as it continues to prove to be a reliable forecasting tool in the forex market. This unique innovation of FXCM Inc.(NYSE: FXCM) reveals where FXCM’s forex-trading crowd is positioned, helps traders create powerful trading strategies, and provides traders with insight where the market might potentially move.

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Speculative Sentiment Index Archive

Matteo Paganini, Chief Analyst di FXCM, vi propone una sessione educational. Themen: - FX: Dezentralisierter Markt - Der Speculative Sentiment Index - Warum repräsentativ um die Positionierung der privaten Trader wiederzugeben? - Wie ... FXCM Video Tutorial for installing FXCM's Speculative Sentiment Index on MetaTrader 4 https://www.fxcmapps.com/apps/ssi-snapshots-mt4/ For more tech support ... Matteo Paganini, Chief Analyst del DailyFX Italia, vi propone una sessione educational. The Forex Indicator That Makes Profitable Traders (Speculative Sentiment Index) - Duration: 5:02. ... FXCM 8,853 views. 1:00:40. How I Trade Using Sentiment and Positioning Data (Strategy Video ... The FXCM Speculative Sentiment Index is an excellent tool to gauge trader positioning and sentiment in the FX market. Unlike major equities or futures markets, there is no single centralized ... Aceasta puternica unealta de tranzactionare este disponibila exclusiv clientilor FXCM. Iti arata sentimentul din piata forex de retail(cati traderi au cumpar...

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